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Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.

Ping An Securities: It is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1% in 2025. Ping An Securities released the annual strategy report of the banking industry in 2025, saying that looking forward to 2025, the insufficient effective demand and the continuous pressure on asset-side pricing level are still important factors restricting the upward flexibility of bank profits. On the one hand, the inhibitory effect of insufficient effective demand on scale growth still exists, and it is estimated that the scale of new credit will be 17.9 trillion to 19.2 trillion yuan in 2025, corresponding to the year-end growth rate of 7.0%-7. On the other hand, the level of interest margin is also subject to the downward trend of asset-side pricing level, and factors such as LPR reduction, stock mortgage adjustment and implicit bond swap will continue to impact asset-side pricing. However, considering the acceleration of the reduction of deposit listing interest rate, the improvement of deposit repricing progress, and the supervision of manual interest payment and interbank liabilities, it is expected that the decline of interest margin will be slightly narrowed in 2025. In terms of asset quality, it is expected to remain stable, the policy will continue to exert its efforts to bottom out risks, the core indicators are expected to remain stable, and the provision is expected to continue to feed back the profit level. On the whole, it is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1.0% in 2025. The idea of stock selection is "high dividend+pro-cyclical", and policy combination boxing promotes the repair of plate valuation.The concept of solid-state battery is partially active, with SAIC pulling up the daily limit, researching new materials and Lihu shares rising.Thailand's finance minister said that Thailand is expected to levy the lowest corporate tax in the world from January 2025.

The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 67.5 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 67.5 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 600.1 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 885.3 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 15.5 billion yuan.In the communication service sector, the daily limit of Bee Assistant was higher, and the communication service sector was higher. The daily limit of Xiangjiang and Bee Assistant in the city was higher. Three-dimensional communication and Beiwei Technology were previously closed, and Runze Technology rose by more than 10%. Century Hengtong, Halo New Network, Chaoxun Communication, Guangmai Technology and Runjian shares followed suit.Zhongke Chuangda: Cooperation with Bean Bag will promote the transformation and application of the scientific research results of the big model on the vehicle side and intelligent hardware side with Volcano Engine. Zhongke Chuangda said on the interactive platform on December 13th that it has cooperation with Bean Bag. The company reached an in-depth cooperation with Volcano Engine to build a joint laboratory to empower end-to-end intelligence. The two sides will give full play to the advantages of core technologies, products and markets in their respective fields, and work together to promote the transformation and application of scientific research results of large models on the vehicle side and intelligent hardware side, empowering industrial innovation and development.